Showing posts with label truth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label truth. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 24, 2009

Voter Fraud in Iran

Was the vote count in Iran manipulated?

The fact there were more votes counted in some parts of the country than people living there is a hint. But there is also the numbers seven and five to consider. What can they tell you about the election? Apparently, more than you would expect.

In legitimate elections, the distribution of numbers is random. But when people make up numbers, they have a tendency (studies have shown) to select some digits more frequently than others.

According to two political science students from Columbia University, there are too many 7s and not enough 5s in the last digits of Iran's vote totals. The digit 7 shows up 17% of the time while the number 5 appears just 4% of the time. That will only happen 4 times out of a hundred.

To give you a comparison, the last US Presidential election vote total shows these digits coming up no more than 14% of the time or and no less than 6%. That's just what you’d expect to happen in a real election 70% of the time.

But Iran also has a problem with sequential numbers. When we make up figures, we tend toward 3-4 or 5-6 or 8-9. We naturally use numbers that are right beside of each other. When you look at the votes from the various Iranian provinces, you notice that adjacent numbers come up too often.

The Columbia students say the chances that the same two issues would come up in a legitimate election is less than .005.

Hiding the truth is quite a difficult task, isn't it?

"You may be sure that your sin will find you out."

Numbers 32:23


Read more on what the students found by clicking here.

Stephen Goforth

Monday, December 29, 2008

It is True or False?

One of the great difficulties is to keep before the audience’s mind the question of Truth. They always think you you are recommending Christianity not because it is true but because it is good. And in the discussion they will at every moment try to escape from the issue “True – or False” into stuff about a good society, or morals, or the incomes of Bishops, or the Spanish Inquisition, or France, or Poland – or anything whatever. You have to keep forcing them back, and again back, to the real point. Only thus will you be able to undermine their belief that a certain amount of ‘religion’ is desirable but one mustn’t carry it too far. One must keep on pointing out that Christianity is a statement which, if false, is of no importance, and if true, of infinite importance. The one thing it cannot be is moderately important.

CS Lewis
God in the Dock